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North Country's avatar

Matt, I’m late to your discussion, if the clerics are/were not in charge of Iran, who is/was?

Matt Osborne's avatar

The regime degenerated into a paramilitary despotism by the IRGC. Note that since the supreme leader and his son were targeted, and the clerics brought out their cardboard version of the son, the clerics have not been targeted. Power is already out of their hands.

North Country's avatar

Thank you.

Do you think the Clerics have any use or are they a hindrance to the paramilitary and will be cast aside?

How coordinated is the paramilitary?

Matt Osborne's avatar

Quite degraded. IRGC top levels of command are gone and the war plan decentralized command authority in the case of decapitation, which is why the missile and drone salvoes never overwhelmed any single targeted country. Comms are evidently compromised, every meeting is dangerous, so there was not much coordination at all by last week. If things resume we shall find out how the IRGC has adapted.

The clerics have always stood atop a volcano of Persian nationalism. When it erupts, they will melt in the lava.

North Country's avatar

Excellent, thank you!