I am observing the protests today in Tehran that have shut down the city. Here are my thoughts on the historical moment and resonances with 1979. As I noted last week, whenever the bazaar commits to regime change, it happens. History seems to be rhyming and matters have reached a tipping point. The regime will either have to fight the people, or surrender power.
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I Do Not Think The Regime Will Survive This
Protests have passed the tipping point in Iran and the state is losing control
Jan 07, 2026
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