Sunday night, the animated map below appeared on the X app. I cannot verify the authenticity of the cartography. No two geolocation experts can agree right now on exactly where in Kursk Oblast the Ukrainians are, or what they control. Rather than slow down, as many prognosticators suggested was the case on Sunday morning, by Monday morning it was clear that Russian units were being routed along the major axes of Ukrainian attack, and that the area of Ukrainian control had more than doubled in size. Here is what I published about the first week of the Kursk offensive on Sunday:
Building on my analysis of the Ukrainian electronic warfare performance so far, this writer humbly submits that the present fog of war is in no small way an intentional product of Gen. Oleksandr Syrskyi’s adapted and upgraded Soviet deep battle doctrine. Forget your daydreams of Ukrainian forces conducting NATO-style combined arms. I assess that Syrskyi is doing what he knows, with an army that already knows exactly what to do, using new technologies to conduct a more familiar mode of warfare. Syrskyi has chosen the ‘easy button.’ It seems to be working.
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