Polemology Positions

Polemology Positions

Iran On The Brink Of Transition?

Handover of clerical authority may be at hand

Apr 09, 2025
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Iran's Khamenei says toppling of Syria's Assad was result of US-Israeli  plan | FMT

Reports that Iran is withdrawing from Iraq and Yemen have raised speculation that the country is undergoing some kind of transformation in its relations with Donald Trump, or alternately, that the regime is planning some sort of trick, perhaps even a nuclear breakthrough.

Without discounting either explanation, another, more likely immediate explanation presents itself: the regime is contracting its strategic presence out of short-term security concerns, and not out of courtesy to President Trump. A handover of power is looming and they want to have every Iranian who is important sitting somewhere that they can be seen at all times.

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